USC
TROJANSUSC
18-13 | Road
79
WASHINGTON
HUSKIESWASH
15-16 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
TROJANS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
TROJANS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WASH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)
USC By 1-7 points
24.3%
USC By 8-14 points
13.7%
WASH By 1-7 points
26.2%
WASH By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
USC
76
USC
Washington
77
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
USC
75
USC
Washington
78
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
USC @ WASH
79 - 83
Mar 4, 2026
USC @ WASH
72 - 91
Dec 6, 2025
WASH @ USC
84 - 76
Mar 5, 2025
WASH @ USC
61 - 92
Dec 7, 2024
USC @ WASH
85 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+13.7% more
Washington: 35.6
vs
USC: 31.4
Steals (L5)
+10.2% more
Washington: 5.9
vs
USC: 5.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
Washington: 47.9%
vs
USC: 41.0%
Blocks (L5)
+48.6% more
USC: 5.9
vs
Washington: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
USC Score
76.0
79
WASH Score
77.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.3 / 26.9
38.0 / 33.0
Assists
12.1 / 15.3
20.0 / 22.0
Blocks
3.0 / 5.9
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 41.0
41.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
81.0 / 80.1
74.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
35.6 / 31.4
40.0 / 42.0
Steals
5.9 / 5.4
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 10.6
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
USC
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
WASH
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
USC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
WASH
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
WASH
15-17-1
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
USC
WASH
USC
ML
45%
15-18
52%
16-15
66%
21-11
58%
18-13
ATS
48%
16-17
68%
21-10
66%
21-11
58%
18-13
TTL
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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