Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Titans @ Raiders DETM @ WRST

DETROIT MERCY

TITANSDETM

17-14  |  Road

63
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Corteva Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WRIGHT STATE

RAIDERSWRST

22-11  |  Home

66
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
📊
RAIDERS
100%
TITANS --
RAIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
165.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
WRIGHT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
TitansDETM (-3.5) 0 RaidersWRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

38.2%

Raiders Cover

61.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WRST +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WRST)

DETM By 1-7 points

27.2%

DETM By 8-14 points

20.1%

WRST By 1-7 points

21.6%

WRST By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
84
DETROIT MERCY
81
WRIGHT STATE
Simulated Score
68
DETROIT MERCY
79
WRIGHT STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Titans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Raiders Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Raiders (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim Raiders (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o153.5 Loss
Proj Total: 165.0
D
Sim u153.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 DETM @ WRST 63 - 66
Feb 12, 2026 DETM @ WRST 77 - 74
Jan 9, 2026 WRST @ DETM 84 - 82
Jan 25, 2025 DETM @ WRST 50 - 67
Dec 7, 2024 WRST @ DETM 80 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +1.6%
Detroit Mercy: 80.2% vs Wright State: 78.5%
Turnovers (L5) +22.8% more
Wright State: 10.9 vs Detroit Mercy: 8.9
Assists (L5) +17.0% more
Wright State: 15.0 vs Detroit Mercy: 12.8
Blocks (L5) +15.1% more
Wright State: 3.3 vs Detroit Mercy: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DETM Score 84.0 63
WRST Score 81.0 66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.8 / 35.5 24.0 / 40.0
Assists 15.0 / 12.8 11.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.3 / 2.9 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 53.2 / 47.7 40.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 78.5 / 80.2 62.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 34.4 40.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.8 4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 8.9 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
24%MONEY76%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DETM
17-15-0 (53.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
WRST Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DETM Advantage
20-9-1 (69.0%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-: +3.7
WRST
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 6.8 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DETM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.3
WRST
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WRST
DETM
WRST
DETM
ML
37% 13-22
58% 18-13
63% 22-13
50% 15-15
ATS
46% 16-19
61% 19-12
63% 22-13
50% 15-15
TTL
63% 22-13
61% 19-12
100% 35-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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