MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
19-14 | Road
69
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
23-10 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
PRIDE
0%
HAWKS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
MONM By 1-7 points
2.2%
MONM By 8-14 points
0.4%
HOF By 1-7 points
9.3%
HOF By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
63
MONMOUTH
Hofstra
82
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Monmouth
69
MONMOUTH
Hofstra
77
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
MONM @ HOF
69 - 75
Jan 31, 2026
HOF @ MONM
73 - 57
Jan 10, 2026
MONM @ HOF
64 - 67
Mar 8, 2025
HOF @ MONM
60 - 65
Feb 20, 2025
MONM @ HOF
68 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+28.5% more
Hofstra: 39.9
vs
Monmouth: 31.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Hofstra: 35.8%
vs
Monmouth: 29.0%
Steals (L5)
+54.8% more
Monmouth: 9.8
vs
Hofstra: 4.4
Blocks (L5)
+34.5% more
Monmouth: 3.5
vs
Hofstra: 2.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
63.0
69
HOF Score
82.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.8 / 29.0
27.0 / 30.0
Assists
10.1 / 12.9
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.5
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 45.8
40.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
74.9 / 81.4
82.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 31.0
43.0 / 31.0
Steals
4.4 / 9.8
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 9.9
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
MONM
HOF
MONM
ML
77%
27-8
62%
21-13
71%
25-10
64%
21-12
ATS
83%
29-6
62%
21-13
71%
25-10
64%
21-12
TTL
51%
18-17
59%
20-14
100%
35-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
Kansas Jayhawks Lose RB Yasin Willis Indefinitely, Backfield Dep…
Princeton Basketball Standout A'mire Gill Pledges to Miami (Ohio…