DETROIT
PISTONSDET
45-18 | Road
138
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
17-47 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
NETS
100%
PISTONS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+13.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
DET By 1-7 points
18.6%
DET By 8-14 points
26.8%
BKN By 1-7 points
6.8%
BKN By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
123
DETROIT
Brooklyn
110
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Detroit
118
DETROIT
Brooklyn
108
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (+15)
Win
Proj Spread: +13.0
D
Sim
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o216.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u216.0
Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
DET @ BKN
138 - 100
Mar 7, 2026
BKN @ DET
107 - 105
Feb 1, 2026
BKN @ DET
77 - 130
Nov 7, 2025
DET @ BKN
125 - 107
Mar 1, 2025
BKN @ DET
94 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+17.6% more
Detroit: 8.0
vs
Brooklyn: 6.6
Turnovers (L5)
+45.7% more
Brooklyn: 18.9
vs
Detroit: 13.0
Assists (L5)
+16.6% more
Brooklyn: 28.3
vs
Detroit: 24.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.2%
Brooklyn: 39.5%
vs
Detroit: 33.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
123.0
138
BKN Score
110.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 33.3
34.0 / 52.0
Assists
28.3 / 24.3
23.0 / 36.0
Blocks
6.6 / 8.0
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 44.2
42.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
80.9 / 77.1
85.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
42.1 / 42.6
31.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.5 / 8.6
3.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
18.9 / 13.0
19.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
BKN
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
DET
BKN
DET
ML
53%
50-45
55%
64-53
59%
48-34
49%
47-49
ATS
52%
48-44-3
53%
60-54-3
59%
48-34
49%
47-49
TTL
57%
54-41
60%
70-46-1
100%
82-0
100%
96-0
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