Home / NBA Projections NBA / Grizzlies @ 76ers MEM @ PHI

MEMPHIS

GRIZZLIESMEM

23-40  |  Road

129
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

34-30  |  Home

139
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
GRIZZLIES --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
GrizzliesMEM (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

42.1%

76ers Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

MEM By 1-7 points

26.8%

MEM By 8-14 points

18.6%

PHI By 1-7 points

23.0%

PHI By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
121
MEMPHIS
119
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
110
MEMPHIS
105
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Grizzlies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (+4) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Grizzlies (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o229.0 Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim u229.0 Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 MEM @ PHI 129 - 139
Dec 30, 2025 PHI @ MEM 139 - 136
Nov 20, 2024 PHI @ MEM 111 - 117
Nov 2, 2024 MEM @ PHI 124 - 107
Apr 6, 2024 PHI @ MEM 116 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +30.4% more
Memphis: 6.6 vs Philadelphia: 4.6
Assists (L5) +16.0% more
Memphis: 27.3 vs Philadelphia: 22.9
Steals (L5) +13.9% more
Memphis: 9.8 vs Philadelphia: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5) +8.3%
Memphis: 81.2% vs Philadelphia: 72.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MEM Score 121.0 129
PHI Score 119.0 139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.7 / 39.7 35.0 / 40.0
Assists 22.9 / 27.3 27.0 / 26.0
Blocks 4.6 / 6.6 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 46.1 52.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 72.9 / 81.2 83.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 40.7 / 36.1 40.0 / 44.0
Steals 8.4 / 9.8 13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 16.1 / 15.2 11.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0 (30.5%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0 (45.1%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MEM
PHI
MEM
ML
63% 69-40
57% 59-44
48% 45-48
50% 41-41
ATS
65% 71-38
63% 65-38
48% 45-48
50% 41-41
TTL
55% 60-49
70% 71-31-1
100% 93-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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