CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
26-38 | Road
130
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
32-32 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
WARRIORS
0%
BULLS
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
CHI By 1-7 points
10.7%
CHI By 8-14 points
3.3%
GS By 1-7 points
23.0%
GS By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
107
CHICAGO
Golden State
117
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Chicago
112
CHICAGO
Golden State
118
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Warriors
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warriors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Warriors (-6)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Warriors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
CHI @ GS
130 - 124
Dec 7, 2025
GS @ CHI
123 - 91
Feb 8, 2025
GS @ CHI
132 - 111
Jan 23, 2025
CHI @ GS
106 - 131
Mar 7, 2024
CHI @ GS
125 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+58.2% more
Golden State: 9.4
vs
Chicago: 6.0
Assists (L5)
+16.1% more
Golden State: 30.6
vs
Chicago: 26.4
Blocks (L5)
+33.8% more
Chicago: 4.7
vs
Golden State: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+17.4% more
Chicago: 16.2
vs
Golden State: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
107.0
130
GS Score
117.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 33.9
37.0 / 32.0
Assists
30.6 / 26.4
30.0 / 34.0
Blocks
3.1 / 4.7
12.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 45.0
42.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 69.4
89.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
45.6 / 47.4
49.0 / 64.0
Steals
9.4 / 6.0
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 16.2
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
GS
Advantage
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
CHI
GS
CHI
ML
55%
95-79
56%
54-42
58%
49-35
57%
46-35
ATS
58%
101-73
65%
62-33-1
58%
49-35
57%
46-35
TTL
77%
134-40
58%
56-40
100%
84-0
100%
81-0
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