OLE MISS
REBELSMISS
12-19 | Road
76
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
18-13 | Home
66
AI Model Win Probability
REBELS
0%
LONGHORNS
100%
REBELS
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEX +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
MISS By 1-7 points
26.2%
MISS By 8-14 points
16.9%
TEX By 1-7 points
24.3%
TEX By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Ole Miss
87
OLE MISS
Texas
86
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Ole Miss
72
OLE MISS
Texas
78
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rebels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
MISS @ TEX
76 - 66
Feb 7, 2026
MISS @ TEX
68 - 79
Jan 29, 2025
TEX @ MISS
69 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+37.1% more
Ole Miss: 8.0
vs
Texas: 5.0
Blocks (L5)
+28.2% more
Ole Miss: 3.8
vs
Texas: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Ole Miss: 15.1
vs
Texas: 12.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.3%
Ole Miss: 79.2%
vs
Texas: 77.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MISS Score
87.0
76
TEX Score
86.0
66
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 26.0
35.0 / 10.0
Assists
12.0 / 15.1
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.8
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 45.3
35.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.0 / 79.2
84.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 32.6
35.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.0 / 8.0
1.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.9
13.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MISS
--
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MISS
--
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MISS
--
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
MISS
TEX
MISS
ML
58%
21-15
48%
16-17
56%
19-15
52%
17-16
ATS
56%
20-16
61%
20-13
56%
19-15
52%
17-16
TTL
64%
23-13
64%
21-12
100%
34-0
100%
33-0
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