Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Grizzlies @ Vikings MONT @ PRST

MONTANA

GRIZZLIESMONT

17-15  |  Road

75
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 9:00 PM ET
Idaho Central Arena
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND STATE

VIKINGSPRST

20-10  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
VIKINGS
0%
GRIZZLIES --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Portland State)
GrizzliesMONT (-3.5) 0 VikingsPRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

42.1%

Vikings Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRST -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)

MONT By 1-7 points

23.0%

MONT By 8-14 points

12.2%

PRST By 1-7 points

26.8%

PRST By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
68
MONTANA
70
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
75
MONTANA
68
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Vikings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Grizzlies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Vikings (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Grizzlies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u145.5 Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 MONT @ PRST 75 - 72
Feb 28, 2026 PRST @ MONT 68 - 74
Jan 29, 2026 MONT @ PRST 64 - 60
Mar 1, 2025 MONT @ PRST 76 - 79
Jan 30, 2025 PRST @ MONT 78 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +99.3% more
Portland State: 8.6 vs Montana: 4.3
Blocks (L5) +51.2% more
Portland State: 3.1 vs Montana: 2.0
Turnovers (L5) +29.1% more
Montana: 11.7 vs Portland State: 8.3
Free Throw % (L5) +7.5%
Montana: 73.5% vs Portland State: 66.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MONT Score 68.0 75
PRST Score 70.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 34.8 14.0 / 44.0
Assists 13.1 / 12.7 7.0 / 11.0
Blocks 3.1 / 2.0 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 47.6 31.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 66.0 / 73.5 89.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 34.4 / 33.5 37.0 / 34.0
Steals 8.6 / 4.3 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 8.3 / 11.7 7.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONT
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
PRST Advantage
20-11-0 (64.5%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.7 ATS +/-: -0.4
PRST Advantage
18-9-1 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.4 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MONT
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: -0.4
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
MONT
PRST
MONT
ML
65% 20-11
39% 13-20
71% 22-9
73% 24-9
ATS
71% 22-9
55% 18-15
71% 22-9
73% 24-9
TTL
47% 14-16-1
59% 19-13-1
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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