CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
32-33 | Road
103
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
31-34 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
HORNETS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
23.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
27.2%
POR By 1-7 points
10.7%
POR By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
126
CHARLOTTE
Portland
116
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Charlotte
108
CHARLOTTE
Portland
112
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trail Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (+4)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Trail Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o227.5
Loss
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u227.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
CHA @ POR
103 - 101
Feb 28, 2026
POR @ CHA
93 - 109
Feb 22, 2025
CHA @ POR
88 - 141
Jan 24, 2025
POR @ CHA
102 - 97
Apr 3, 2024
POR @ CHA
89 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
Charlotte: 77.7%
vs
Portland: 69.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Charlotte: 37.2%
vs
Portland: 33.5%
Steals (L5)
+53.0% more
Portland: 9.2
vs
Charlotte: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+24.8% more
Portland: 15.7
vs
Charlotte: 12.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
126.0
103
POR Score
116.0
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 37.2
38.0 / 37.0
Assists
25.6 / 25.9
23.0 / 21.0
Blocks
6.7 / 6.0
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 44.4
42.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 77.7
83.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 45.4
42.0 / 52.0
Steals
9.2 / 6.0
6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 12.6
18.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
CHA
POR
CHA
ML
53%
56-49
61%
60-39
55%
49-40
48%
40-44
ATS
62%
65-39-1
60%
59-40
55%
49-40
48%
40-44
TTL
56%
58-46-1
58%
57-42
100%
89-0
100%
84-0
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