Home / NHL Projections NHL / Islanders @ Blues NYI @ STL

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

36-23-5  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 7:30 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

25-29-9  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
@
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ilya Sorokin None-None 2.91 0.870 --
Joel Hofer None-None 3.88 0.939 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.91 Ldr GAA 3.88
0.870 Save % Ldr 0.939
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
ISLANDERS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (St. Louis)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

2.3%

Blues Cover

97.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

NYI By 1 goal

0.9%

NYI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

STL By 1 goal

6.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
1
NEW YORK
5
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blues Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blues Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Blues (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 NYI @ STL 4 - 3
Nov 22, 2025 STL @ NYI 2 - 1
Nov 23, 2024 STL @ NYI 1 - 3
Oct 17, 2024 NYI @ STL 0 - 1
Mar 5, 2024 STL @ NYI 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +25.0%
St. Louis: 28.6% vs New York: 3.6%
Shots on Goal (L5) +17.3% more
St. Louis: 26.3 vs New York: 22.4
Takeaways (L5) +32.5% more
New York: 5.3 vs St. Louis: 3.6
Hits (L5) +30.6% more
New York: 23.6 vs St. Louis: 16.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 1.0 4
STL Score 5.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
53%MONEY47%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
63%MONEY37%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
NYI
STL
NYI
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 1-1-1
100% 2-0-1
50% 1-1-1
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Canadiens Turn to Rookie Jacob Fowler in Net Against Predators; …
yardbarker 7 hours, 32 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 33 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 33 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 13 hours ago