Home / NHL Projections NHL / Ducks @ Jets ANA @ WPG

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

35-25-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 8:30 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

26-26-10  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
@
Connor Hellebuyck
GOALTENDER

Connor Hellebuyck

#37 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Lukas Dostal None-None 1.01 0.923 --
Connor Hellebuyck None-None 3.14 0.912 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.01 Ldr GAA 3.14
0.923 Ldr Save % 0.912
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
📊
JETS
100%
DUCKS --
JETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Anaheim)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 JetsWPG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

97.7%

Jets Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

ANA By 1 goal

6.6%

ANA By 2-3 goals

29.6%

WPG By 1 goal

0.9%

WPG By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
ANAHEIM
1
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Jets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 ANA @ WPG 4 - 1
Feb 27, 2026 WPG @ ANA 4 - 5
Nov 9, 2025 WPG @ ANA 1 - 4
Apr 16, 2025 ANA @ WPG 1 - 2
Jan 2, 2025 ANA @ WPG 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +3.9%
Anaheim: 21.5% vs Winnipeg: 17.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 5.0 4
WPG Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
14%MONEY86%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
ANA
WPG
ANA
ML
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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