AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Vermont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVM -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)
NJIT By 1-7 points
4.0%
NJIT By 8-14 points
0.8%
UVM By 1-7 points
13.7%
UVM By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
60
NJIT
Vermont
76
VERMONT
Simulated Score
NJIT
58
NJIT
Vermont
75
VERMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
NJIT @ UVM
54 - 63
Feb 21, 2026
UVM @ NJIT
70 - 64
Jan 31, 2026
NJIT @ UVM
79 - 77
Feb 27, 2025
UVM @ NJIT
71 - 61
Jan 23, 2025
NJIT @ UVM
64 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+33.0% more
Vermont: 11.9
vs
NJIT: 8.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.5%
Vermont: 37.7%
vs
NJIT: 24.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.5%
Vermont: 48.1%
vs
NJIT: 40.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+33.7% more
NJIT: 12.7
vs
Vermont: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
60.0
54
UVM Score
76.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 24.2
28.0 / 32.0
Assists
11.9 / 8.9
9.0 / 7.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.5
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
48.1 / 40.6
42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 69.6
67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 31.9
35.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.7 / 8.0
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 12.7
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
UVM
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVM
NJIT
UVM
NJIT
ML
56%
19-15
78%
25-7
65%
22-12
62%
20-12
ATS
62%
21-13
72%
23-9
65%
22-12
62%
20-12
TTL
47%
16-18
47%
15-17
100%
34-0
100%
32-0