Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Demon Deacons @ Hokies WAKE @ VT

WAKE FOREST

DEMON DEACONSWAKE

16-15  |  Road

95
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

19-12  |  Home

89
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
100%
📊
HOKIES
0%
DEMON DEACONS --
HOKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Virginia Tech)
Demon DeaconsWAKE (-3.5) 0 HokiesVT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Demon Deacons Cover

15.9%

Hokies Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VT -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

WAKE By 1-7 points

10.7%

WAKE By 8-14 points

3.3%

VT By 1-7 points

23.0%

VT By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
78
WAKE FOREST
88
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
70
WAKE FOREST
73
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hokies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hokies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hokies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Hokies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 WAKE @ VT 95 - 89
Feb 21, 2026 WAKE @ VT 63 - 82
Jan 3, 2026 VT @ WAKE 78 - 81
Jan 18, 2025 WAKE @ VT 72 - 63
Mar 2, 2024 WAKE @ VT 76 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +26.7% more
Virginia Tech: 6.5 vs Wake Forest: 5.1
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
Virginia Tech: 45.2% vs Wake Forest: 43.3%
Blocks (L5) +28.2% more
Wake Forest: 3.5 vs Virginia Tech: 2.5
Rebounding (L5) +15.5% more
Wake Forest: 36.6 vs Virginia Tech: 31.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score 78.0 95
VT Score 88.0 89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.3 / 34.9 33.0 / 36.0
Assists 14.5 / 13.5 14.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.5 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 43.3 41.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 79.2 / 81.6 85.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 31.0 / 36.6 45.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.5 / 5.1 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 9.8 13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
39%MONEY61%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
VT Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
16-18-1 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: -0.8
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.0
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
WAKE
VT
WAKE
ML
53% 17-15
49% 17-18
72% 23-9
61% 20-13
ATS
59% 19-13
66% 23-12
72% 23-9
61% 20-13
TTL
69% 22-10
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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