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DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

36-21-7  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

31-29-3  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Daniil Tarasov
GOALTENDER

Daniil Tarasov

#80 | Goaltender
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Daniil Tarasov None-None 3.03 0.893 --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.03 GAA --
0.893 Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
RED WINGS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

15.9%

Panthers Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

DET By 1 goal

6.6%

DET By 2-3 goals

3.7%

FLA By 1 goal

17.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
DETROIT
3
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
2
DETROIT
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 DET @ FLA 1 - 8
Mar 10, 2026 DET @ FLA 3 - 4
Mar 6, 2026 FLA @ DET 3 - 1
Oct 15, 2025 FLA @ DET 1 - 4
Apr 10, 2025 DET @ FLA 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +62.8% more
Florida: 25.1 vs Detroit: 15.4
Power Play % (L5) +16.3%
Florida: 27.3% vs Detroit: 11.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.3% more
Florida: 30.9 vs Detroit: 27.8
Takeaways (L5) +25.0% more
Detroit: 5.0 vs Florida: 3.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 1.0 3
FLA Score 3.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
DET
FLA
DET
ML
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
TTL
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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