Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Utes @ Bearcats UTAH @ CIN

UTAH

UTESUTAH

10-21  |  Road

66
FINAL
Tue, Mar 10 • 3:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Center
View Odds Details →

CINCINNATI

BEARCATSCIN

17-14  |  Home

73
AI Model Win Probability
UTES
100%
📊
BEARCATS
0%
UTES --
BEARCATS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Cincinnati)
UtesUTAH (-3.5) 0 BearcatsCIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Utes Cover

1.4%

Bearcats Cover

98.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIN -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)

UTAH By 1-7 points

1.1%

UTAH By 8-14 points

0.1%

CIN By 1-7 points

5.8%

CIN By 8-14 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
68
UTAH
90
CINCINNATI
Simulated Score
68
UTAH
72
CINCINNATI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bearcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bearcats Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bearcats (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim Bearcats (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 UTAH @ CIN 66 - 73
Feb 15, 2026 UTAH @ CIN 65 - 69
Feb 11, 2025 UTAH @ CIN 75 - 85
Jan 28, 2025 CIN @ UTAH 66 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +52.2% more
Cincinnati: 5.9 vs Utah: 3.9
Rebounding (L5) +38.3% more
Cincinnati: 36.2 vs Utah: 26.2
Assists (L5) +34.3% more
Cincinnati: 19.2 vs Utah: 14.3
Turnovers (L5) +11.2% more
Utah: 12.8 vs Cincinnati: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 68.0 66
CIN Score 90.0 73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.7 / 39.9 39.0 / 28.0
Assists 19.2 / 14.3 15.0 / 10.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.5 8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 50.4 45.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 80.3 56.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 26.2 40.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.9 / 3.9 2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 12.8 7.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
CIN Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -4.8 ATS +/-: -0.6
CIN
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8% Total +/-: -0.5
CIN
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
UTAH
CIN
UTAH
ML
67% 22-11
56% 18-14
74% 23-8
67% 20-10
ATS
64% 21-12
56% 18-14
74% 23-8
67% 20-10
TTL
67% 22-11
41% 13-19
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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