MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
23-39 | Road
115
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
16-47 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
NETS
100%
GRIZZLIES
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
MEM By 1-7 points
26.8%
MEM By 8-14 points
24.3%
BKN By 1-7 points
16.9%
BKN By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Memphis
106
MEMPHIS
Brooklyn
100
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Memphis
109
MEMPHIS
Brooklyn
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Grizzlies (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u220.0
Loss
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Sim
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
MEM @ BKN
115 - 126
Jan 11, 2026
BKN @ MEM
98 - 103
Dec 13, 2024
BKN @ MEM
119 - 135
Nov 4, 2024
MEM @ BKN
104 - 106
Oct 30, 2024
BKN @ MEM
119 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.0% more
Memphis: 10.2
vs
Brooklyn: 7.7
Assists (L5)
+12.3% more
Memphis: 28.4
vs
Brooklyn: 25.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Memphis: 39.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 33.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Memphis: 47.6%
vs
Brooklyn: 44.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MEM Score
106.0
115
BKN Score
100.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 39.6
52.0 / 40.0
Assists
25.0 / 28.4
35.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.4 / 5.9
9.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 47.6
55.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
81.9 / 79.8
79.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 36.2
43.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.7 / 10.2
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
18.3 / 15.3
20.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
MEM
BKN
MEM
ML
53%
50-45
57%
59-44
59%
48-34
50%
41-41
ATS
52%
48-44-3
63%
65-38
59%
48-34
50%
41-41
TTL
57%
54-41
70%
71-31-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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