PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
34-29 | Road
101
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
39-25 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
76ERS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
PHI By 1-7 points
15.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
5.8%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland
122
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Cleveland
115
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+14)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o226.5
Loss
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
PHI @ CLE
101 - 115
Jan 16, 2026
CLE @ PHI
117 - 115
Jan 14, 2026
CLE @ PHI
133 - 107
Nov 5, 2025
PHI @ CLE
121 - 132
Jan 24, 2025
CLE @ PHI
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+15.0% more
Cleveland: 5.6
vs
Philadelphia: 4.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.5%
Cleveland: 35.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 33.1%
Steals (L5)
+23.9% more
Philadelphia: 9.2
vs
Cleveland: 7.0
Turnovers (L5)
+23.0% more
Philadelphia: 15.6
vs
Cleveland: 12.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
115.0
101
CLE Score
122.0
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 33.1
36.0 / 29.0
Assists
25.8 / 24.4
28.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.6 / 4.9
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 47.1
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 75.9
92.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 40.0
41.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.0 / 9.2
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 15.6
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
PHI
CLE
PHI
ML
60%
69-46
63%
69-40
56%
55-44
48%
45-48
ATS
67%
75-37-3
65%
71-38
56%
55-44
48%
45-48
TTL
59%
68-47
55%
60-49
100%
99-0
100%
93-0
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