AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
KNICKS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.4%
NY By 8-14 points
21.6%
LAC By 1-7 points
20.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
113
NEW YORK
LA
109
LA
Simulated Score
New York
110
NEW YORK
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o220.5
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u220.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 9, 2026
NY @ LAC
118 - 126
Jan 7, 2026
LAC @ NY
111 - 123
Mar 26, 2025
LAC @ NY
126 - 113
Mar 7, 2025
NY @ LAC
95 - 105
Dec 16, 2023
NY @ LAC
122 - 144
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.3% more
New York: 29.6
vs
LA: 20.6
Turnovers (L5)
+14.0% more
New York: 15.3
vs
LA: 13.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
New York: 33.4%
vs
LA: 31.3%
Blocks (L5)
+18.5% more
LA: 3.9
vs
New York: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
113.0
118
LAC Score
109.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 33.4
46.0 / 35.0
Assists
20.6 / 29.6
25.0 / 32.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.3
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 48.2
46.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
82.1 / 79.2
85.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
43.8 / 47.4
36.0 / 51.0
Steals
9.9 / 8.4
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 15.3
8.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
NY
LAC
NY
ML
60%
59-40
61%
114-72
55%
45-37
56%
57-45
ATS
66%
65-33-1
67%
124-62
55%
45-37
56%
57-45
TTL
59%
58-40-1
72%
133-53
100%
82-0
100%
102-0