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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

25-30-7  |  Road

3
FINAL
Mon, Mar 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

31-26-7  |  Home

7
Goaltending
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
@
Logan Thompson
GOALTENDER

Logan Thompson

#48 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Devin Cooley None-None 6.06 0.786 --
Logan Thompson None-None 3.00 0.885 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.06 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.786 Save % Ldr 0.885
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
100%
📊
CAPITALS
0%
FLAMES --
CAPITALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 CapitalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

30.9%

Capitals Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

CGY By 1 goal

12.1%

CGY By 2-3 goals

9.3%

WSH By 1 goal

19.7%

WSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CALGARY
4
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Capitals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Capitals Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Capitals (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Capitals (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 CGY @ WSH 3 - 7
Jan 23, 2026 WSH @ CGY 3 - 1
Feb 25, 2025 CGY @ WSH 3 - 1
Jan 28, 2025 WSH @ CGY 3 - 1
Mar 18, 2024 WSH @ CGY 5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +5.2%
Washington: 50.1% vs Calgary: 44.9%
Power Play % (L5) +20.4%
Calgary: 34.3% vs Washington: 13.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 3.0 3
WSH Score 4.0 7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
37%MONEY63%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CGY
WSH
CGY
ML
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
ATS
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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