Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Eagles WEB @ EWU

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

16-15  |  Road

79
FINAL
Mon, Mar 9 • 10:00 PM ET
Idaho Central Arena
View Odds Details →

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

13-18  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
WILDCATS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Eastern Washington)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 EaglesEWU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

15.9%

Eagles Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EWU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)

WEB By 1-7 points

10.7%

WEB By 8-14 points

3.3%

EWU By 1-7 points

23.0%

EWU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
74
WEBER STATE
84
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
76
WEBER STATE
80
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o154.5 Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 9, 2026 WEB @ EWU 79 - 84
Feb 14, 2026 WEB @ EWU 66 - 84
Jan 15, 2026 EWU @ WEB 80 - 91
Feb 27, 2025 WEB @ EWU 66 - 64
Feb 1, 2025 EWU @ WEB 72 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +505.5% more
Eastern Washington: 6.6 vs Weber State: 1.1
Assists (L5) +43.2% more
Eastern Washington: 15.4 vs Weber State: 10.8
Steals (L5) +24.0% more
Eastern Washington: 7.3 vs Weber State: 5.9
Field Goal % (L5) +9.2%
Eastern Washington: 55.7% vs Weber State: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 74.0 79
EWU Score 84.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 32.8 41.0 / 26.0
Assists 15.4 / 10.8 18.0 / 7.0
Blocks 6.6 / 1.1 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 55.7 / 46.4 52.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 70.9 / 74.0 68.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 34.8 32.0 / 28.0
Steals 7.3 / 5.9 1.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.9 12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
WEB
EWU
WEB
ML
64% 21-12
73% 22-8
69% 22-10
73% 22-8
ATS
64% 21-12
63% 19-11
69% 22-10
74% 23-8
TTL
48% 16-17
83% 25-5
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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