WILLIAM & MARY
TRIBEW&M
20-11 | Road
61
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
21-10 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
TRIBE
100%
PRIDE
0%
TRIBE
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
130.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
W&M By 1-7 points
10.7%
W&M By 8-14 points
3.3%
HOF By 1-7 points
23.0%
HOF By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
William & Mary
60
WILLIAM & MARY
Hofstra
70
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
William & Mary
62
WILLIAM & MARY
Hofstra
73
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pride
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 130.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
W&M @ HOF
61 - 92
Jan 24, 2026
HOF @ W&M
82 - 89
Feb 13, 2025
HOF @ W&M
60 - 61
Jan 2, 2025
W&M @ HOF
74 - 56
Jan 25, 2024
W&M @ HOF
55 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+23.8% more
Hofstra: 40.0
vs
William & Mary: 32.3
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
Hofstra: 11.3
vs
William & Mary: 10.2
Assists (L5)
+40.4% more
William & Mary: 16.9
vs
Hofstra: 10.1
Steals (L5)
+37.8% more
William & Mary: 8.7
vs
Hofstra: 5.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
W&M Score
60.0
61
HOF Score
70.0
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 33.6
39.0 / 23.0
Assists
10.1 / 16.9
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.2
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.3 / 48.6
45.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 74.3
73.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
40.0 / 32.3
41.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.4 / 8.7
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 10.2
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
W&M
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
W&M
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
W&M
14-15-1
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.8
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
W&M
HOF
W&M
ML
77%
27-8
55%
17-14
71%
25-10
61%
19-12
ATS
83%
29-6
63%
19-11-1
71%
25-10
61%
19-12
TTL
51%
18-17
61%
19-12
100%
35-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
