IDAHO STATE
BENGALSIDST
13-19 | Road
78
PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
19-10 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
BENGALS
100%
VIKINGS
0%
BENGALS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRST -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
IDST By 1-7 points
8.0%
IDST By 8-14 points
2.2%
PRST By 1-7 points
20.1%
PRST By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho State
64
IDAHO STATE
Portland State
76
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
Idaho State
71
IDAHO STATE
Portland State
74
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vikings (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
IDST @ PRST
78 - 85
Feb 2, 2026
IDST @ PRST
65 - 88
Jan 3, 2026
PRST @ IDST
93 - 87
Feb 20, 2025
PRST @ IDST
74 - 82
Jan 25, 2025
IDST @ PRST
59 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+70.4% more
Portland State: 8.4
vs
Idaho State: 4.9
Assists (L5)
+28.1% more
Portland State: 14.7
vs
Idaho State: 11.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Portland State: 46.2%
vs
Idaho State: 42.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.7%
Idaho State: 68.2%
vs
Portland State: 65.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDST Score
64.0
78
PRST Score
76.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 32.0
33.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.7 / 11.5
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.7
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 42.7
44.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
65.6 / 68.2
67.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 36.9
33.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.4 / 4.9
9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 10.7
4.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDST
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -2.5
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDST
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -2.5
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
IDST
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
IDST
PRST
IDST
ML
65%
20-11
59%
19-13
71%
22-9
72%
23-9
ATS
71%
22-9
50%
16-16
71%
22-9
72%
23-9
TTL
47%
14-16-1
59%
19-13
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
Buffaloes Reunion: Former Colorado Stars Share Touchdown Moment …
Oregon's Simeon Price Emerges as Veteran Leader in Ducks' Backfi…
BYU Athletic Director Brian Santiago's Job Status Confirmed Amid…
Cyclones' 2026 Season: A Fresh Start Under Jimmy Rogers Amidst R…