QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
20-13 | Road
98
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
BEARSCARK
22-11 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
100%
BEARS
0%
ROYALS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Central Arkansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CARK -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CARK)
QUC By 1-7 points
18.6%
QUC By 8-14 points
8.0%
CARK By 1-7 points
27.2%
CARK By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Central Arkansas
80
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
Queens University
74
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Central Arkansas
78
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u155.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
QUC @ CARK
98 - 93
Feb 28, 2026
QUC @ CARK
79 - 84
Jan 28, 2026
CARK @ QUC
100 - 90
Feb 18, 2025
CARK @ QUC
72 - 89
Feb 5, 2025
QUC @ CARK
63 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+19.1% more
Central Arkansas: 10.1
vs
Queens University: 8.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.5%
Central Arkansas: 74.4%
vs
Queens University: 65.0%
Blocks (L5)
+25.8% more
Queens University: 2.6
vs
Central Arkansas: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
75.0
98
CARK Score
80.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 37.9
42.0 / 42.0
Assists
14.7 / 16.0
17.0 / 19.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.6
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 48.8
43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 65.0
70.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
34.0 / 33.8
35.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.9
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.1 / 8.5
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
CARK
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
CARK
Advantage
19-10-3
(65.5%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
CARK
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CARK
QUC
CARK
QUC
ML
67%
22-11
71%
25-10
70%
23-10
71%
24-10
ATS
61%
20-13
86%
30-5
70%
23-10
71%
24-10
TTL
50%
16-16-1
47%
16-18-1
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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