CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
26-37 | Road
110
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
14-50 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
KINGS
100%
BULLS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
CHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
CHI By 8-14 points
16.9%
SAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
110
CHICAGO
Sacramento
109
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Chicago
109
CHICAGO
Sacramento
117
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kings (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u238.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Sim
u238.0
Win
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
CHI @ SAC
110 - 126
Oct 29, 2025
SAC @ CHI
113 - 126
Mar 20, 2025
CHI @ SAC
128 - 116
Jan 12, 2025
SAC @ CHI
124 - 119
Mar 4, 2024
CHI @ SAC
113 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+32.6% more
Chicago: 17.3
vs
Sacramento: 11.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Chicago: 31.9%
vs
Sacramento: 26.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.4%
Sacramento: 76.6%
vs
Chicago: 70.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
110.0
110
SAC Score
109.0
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.3 / 31.9
38.0 / 38.0
Assists
27.6 / 26.0
33.0 / 27.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.1
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 46.5
45.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 70.2
91.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
43.6 / 46.6
55.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.7 / 7.9
5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 17.3
4.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
CHI
SAC
CHI
ML
55%
55-45
56%
54-42
61%
50-32
57%
46-35
ATS
54%
52-45-3
65%
62-33-1
61%
50-32
57%
46-35
TTL
58%
57-42-1
58%
56-40
100%
82-0
100%
81-0
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