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BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

35-22-5  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 4:30 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena
View Odds Details →

PITTSBURGH

PENGUINSPIT

31-17-14  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Nikita Zadorov
GOALTENDER

Nikita Zadorov

#91 | Defense
@
Arturs Silovs
GOALTENDER

Arturs Silovs

#37 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Nikita Zadorov None-None -- -- --
Arturs Silovs None-None 3.98 0.857 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 3.98
-- Save % 0.857
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
PENGUINS
0%
BRUINS --
PENGUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Pittsburgh)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 PenguinsPIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

30.9%

Penguins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)

BOS By 1 goal

12.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

9.3%

PIT By 1 goal

19.7%

PIT By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BOSTON
4
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
2
BOSTON
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Penguins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Penguins Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Penguins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Penguins (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 BOS @ PIT 4 - 5
Mar 3, 2026 PIT @ BOS 1 - 2
Jan 11, 2026 PIT @ BOS 0 - 1
Apr 13, 2025 BOS @ PIT 4 - 1
Mar 1, 2025 BOS @ PIT 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +26.4% more
Pittsburgh: 4.8 vs Boston: 3.8
Power Play % (L5) +17.8%
Boston: 20.3% vs Pittsburgh: 2.5%
Blocked Shots (L5) +15.5% more
Boston: 13.2 vs Pittsburgh: 11.1
Hits (L5) +14.6% more
Boston: 22.6 vs Pittsburgh: 19.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.0 4
PIT Score 4.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
62%MONEY38%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
51%MONEY49%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
BOS
PIT
BOS
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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