Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Flames UNI @ UIC

NORTHERN IOWA

PANTHERSUNI

22-12  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 12:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

UIC

FLAMESUIC

19-14  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
FLAMES
100%
PANTHERS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Northern Iowa)
PanthersUNI (-3.5) 0 FlamesUIC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

75.8%

Flames Cover

24.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNI -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)

UNI By 1-7 points

26.2%

UNI By 8-14 points

25.3%

UIC By 1-7 points

15.3%

UIC By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
71
NORTHERN IOWA
64
UIC
Simulated Score
67
NORTHERN IOWA
74
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 UNI @ UIC 84 - 69
Jan 13, 2026 UIC @ UNI 69 - 61
Dec 17, 2025 UNI @ UIC 60 - 54
Feb 26, 2025 UIC @ UNI 52 - 74
Dec 4, 2024 UNI @ UIC 83 - 56
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +19.1%
Northern Iowa: 47.0% vs UIC: 28.0%
Assists (L5) +12.1% more
Northern Iowa: 16.4 vs UIC: 14.4
Field Goal % (L5) +5.9%
Northern Iowa: 54.2% vs UIC: 48.3%
Rebounding (L5) +30.4% more
UIC: 39.0 vs Northern Iowa: 29.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNI Score 71.0 84
UIC Score 64.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.0 / 47.0 35.0 / 52.0
Assists 14.4 / 16.4 13.0 / 25.0
Blocks 2.7 / 2.4 0.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 54.2 44.0 / 63.0
Free Throw % 69.2 / 68.1 100.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 39.0 / 29.9 22.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.2 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 10.4 5.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNI Advantage
23-13-0 (63.9%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNI Advantage
20-15-0 (57.1%)
Margin: 7.7 ATS +/-: +2.4
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -4.7
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
UNI
UIC
UNI
ML
57% 20-15
51% 18-17
44% 15-19
56% 19-15
ATS
54% 19-16
49% 17-18
44% 15-19
56% 19-15
TTL
60% 21-14
69% 24-11
100% 34-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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