AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
PRIVATEERS
0%
HUSKIES
--
PRIVATEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (New Orleans)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNO -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNO)
HCU By 1-7 points
20.1%
HCU By 8-14 points
9.3%
UNO By 1-7 points
27.4%
UNO By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston Christian
70
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
New Orleans
74
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Houston Christian
65
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
New Orleans
78
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Privateers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Privateers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Privateers (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Privateers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
HCU @ UNO
60 - 73
Feb 14, 2026
UNO @ HCU
60 - 61
Dec 6, 2025
HCU @ UNO
85 - 76
Feb 8, 2025
UNO @ HCU
68 - 81
Jan 25, 2025
HCU @ UNO
86 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+19.8% more
New Orleans: 39.9
vs
Houston Christian: 33.3
Turnovers (L5)
+18.2% more
New Orleans: 14.2
vs
Houston Christian: 12.0
Assists (L5)
+10.0% more
New Orleans: 14.7
vs
Houston Christian: 13.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.9%
New Orleans: 72.6%
vs
Houston Christian: 70.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HCU Score
70.0
60
UNO Score
74.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.6 / 23.5
42.0 / 28.0
Assists
14.7 / 13.4
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.0 / 5.3
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 45.4
45.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
72.6 / 70.7
67.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
39.9 / 33.3
43.0 / 27.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.3
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 12.0
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
UNO
Advantage
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HCU
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
HCU
UNO
HCU
ML
52%
16-15
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
81%
25-6
ATS
52%
16-15
58%
18-13
57%
17-13
81%
26-6
TTL
58%
18-13
68%
21-10
100%
30-0
100%
32-0