IOWA
HAWKEYESIOWA
20-10 | Road
75
NEBRASKA
CORNHUSKERSNEB
25-5 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKEYES
100%
CORNHUSKERS
0%
HAWKEYES
--
CORNHUSKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEB -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
IOWA By 1-7 points
13.7%
IOWA By 8-14 points
4.8%
NEB By 1-7 points
25.3%
NEB By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Iowa
75
IOWA
Nebraska
83
NEBRASKA
Simulated Score
Iowa
75
IOWA
Nebraska
78
NEBRASKA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cornhuskers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cornhuskers (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Cornhuskers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 26, 2026
IOWA @ NEB
77 - 71
Mar 8, 2026
IOWA @ NEB
75 - 84
Feb 17, 2026
NEB @ IOWA
52 - 57
Mar 9, 2025
IOWA @ NEB
83 - 68
Jan 7, 2025
NEB @ IOWA
87 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+63.0% more
Nebraska: 11.4
vs
Iowa: 7.0
Blocks (L5)
+56.3% more
Nebraska: 2.2
vs
Iowa: 1.4
Rebounding (L5)
+32.1% more
Nebraska: 35.4
vs
Iowa: 26.8
Steals (L5)
+17.9% more
Nebraska: 7.4
vs
Iowa: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IOWA Score
75.0
75
NEB Score
83.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.3 / 28.8
37.0 / 37.0
Assists
16.3 / 14.3
18.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.2 / 1.4
0.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 44.4
50.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 86.4
74.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 26.8
29.0 / 32.0
Steals
7.4 / 6.2
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 7.0
12.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IOWA
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
NEB
Advantage
28-7-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IOWA
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 8.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
NEB
19-15-1
(55.9%)
Margin: 10.8
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
IOWA
20-17-0
O: 54.1% / U: 46.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
NEB
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -6.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
IOWA
NEB
IOWA
ML
51%
18-17
59%
22-15
62%
21-13
78%
28-8
ATS
54%
19-16
76%
28-9
62%
21-13
78%
28-8
TTL
63%
22-13
57%
21-16
100%
34-0
100%
36-0
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