Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Raiders @ Mountain Hawks COLG @ LEH

COLGATE

RAIDERSCOLG

18-14  |  Road

69
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 12:00 PM ET
Stabler Arena
View Odds Details →

LEHIGH

MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH

16-16  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
100%
📊
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
RAIDERS --
MOUNTAIN HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Lehigh)
RaidersCOLG (-3.5) 0 Mountain HawksLEH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Raiders Cover

27.4%

Mountain Hawks Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)

COLG By 1-7 points

16.9%

COLG By 8-14 points

6.8%

LEH By 1-7 points

26.8%

LEH By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
69
COLGATE
75
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
68
COLGATE
75
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountain Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountain Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountain Hawks (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Mountain Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 COLG @ LEH 69 - 76
Jan 31, 2026 COLG @ LEH 76 - 77
Jan 10, 2026 LEH @ COLG 78 - 77
Feb 3, 2025 COLG @ LEH 68 - 94
Jan 8, 2025 LEH @ COLG 62 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +72.6% more
Lehigh: 5.9 vs Colgate: 3.4
Turnovers (L5) +26.7% more
Lehigh: 11.8 vs Colgate: 9.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.0%
Lehigh: 42.5% vs Colgate: 39.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COLG Score 69.0 69
LEH Score 75.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.5 / 39.5 44.0 / 21.0
Assists 15.9 / 16.0 15.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.3 3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 51.2 / 50.1 54.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 80.3 65.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 31.5 / 33.2 33.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.9 / 3.4 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 9.3 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
LEH
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 1.8 ATS +/-: -1.5
LEH Advantage
18-14-1 (56.3%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.9
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
COLG
LEH
COLG
ML
56% 19-15
59% 19-13
68% 23-11
69% 22-10
ATS
56% 19-15
72% 23-9
68% 23-11
70% 23-10
TTL
76% 26-8
78% 25-7
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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