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ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

24-29-9  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 9:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

35-24-3  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Ville Husso
GOALTENDER

Ville Husso

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Ville Husso None-None 3.11 0.912 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 3.11
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.912
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
DUCKS
100%
BLUES --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

97.7%

Ducks Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

6.6%

STL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

ANA By 1 goal

0.9%

ANA By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
ST. LOUIS
1
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 STL @ ANA 6 - 2
Mar 8, 2026 STL @ ANA 4 - 0
Dec 1, 2025 ANA @ STL 4 - 1
Mar 16, 2025 ANA @ STL 2 - 7
Mar 7, 2025 STL @ ANA 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +7.1%
St. Louis: 28.6% vs Anaheim: 21.5%
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.8% more
Anaheim: 14.6 vs St. Louis: 11.6
Takeaways (L5) +16.4% more
Anaheim: 5.1 vs St. Louis: 4.4
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.1% more
Anaheim: 29.2 vs St. Louis: 26.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 5.0 4
ANA Score 1.0 0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
44%MONEY56%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
STL
ANA
STL
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 1-1-1
0% 0-3
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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