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CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

23-29-10  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Mar 8 • 6:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

38-14-10  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Arvid Soderblom
GOALTENDER

Arvid Soderblom

#40 | Goaltender
@
Casey DeSmith
GOALTENDER

Casey DeSmith

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Arvid Soderblom None-None 4.00 0.871 --
Casey DeSmith None-None 3.02 0.842 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.00 GAA Ldr 3.02
0.871 Ldr Save % 0.842
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
100%
📊
STARS
0%
BLACKHAWKS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Dallas)
BlackhawksCHI (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blackhawks Cover

30.9%

Stars Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

CHI By 1 goal

12.1%

CHI By 2-3 goals

9.3%

DAL By 1 goal

19.7%

DAL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2
CHICAGO
3
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
CHICAGO
4
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 CHI @ DAL 3 - 4
Jan 1, 2026 DAL @ CHI 3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025 CHI @ DAL 4 - 3
Dec 29, 2024 DAL @ CHI 5 - 1
Nov 27, 2024 DAL @ CHI 2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +46.4% more
Dallas: 17.4 vs Chicago: 11.9
Takeaways (L5) +31.4% more
Dallas: 5.3 vs Chicago: 4.0
Shots on Goal (L5) +31.2% more
Dallas: 27.8 vs Chicago: 21.2
Power Play % (L5) +26.2%
Dallas: 32.0% vs Chicago: 5.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 2.0 3
DAL Score 3.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
87%MONEY13%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
CHI
DAL
CHI
ML
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
ATS
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
TTL
100% 4-0
25% 1-3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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