MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
8-23 | Road
58
NJIT
HIGHLANDERSNJIT
15-16 | Home
60
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
100%
HIGHLANDERS
0%
BLACK BEARS
--
HIGHLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NJIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (NJIT)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NJIT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJIT)
ME By 1-7 points
24.3%
ME By 8-14 points
13.7%
NJIT By 1-7 points
26.2%
NJIT By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
77
MAINE
NJIT
78
NJIT
Simulated Score
Maine
72
MAINE
NJIT
68
NJIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Highlanders (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Black Bears (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
ME @ NJIT
58 - 60
Feb 14, 2026
NJIT @ ME
67 - 58
Jan 10, 2026
ME @ NJIT
74 - 70
Feb 6, 2025
NJIT @ ME
74 - 78
Jan 16, 2025
ME @ NJIT
57 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+10.7% more
NJIT: 8.0
vs
Maine: 7.3
Rebounding (L5)
+10.6% more
NJIT: 31.4
vs
Maine: 28.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.3%
NJIT: 69.9%
vs
Maine: 59.5%
Assists (L5)
+35.6% more
Maine: 13.0
vs
NJIT: 8.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
77.0
58
NJIT Score
78.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
23.3 / 33.1
26.0 / 36.0
Assists
8.4 / 13.0
10.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.3 / 2.4
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
37.9 / 45.1
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
69.9 / 59.5
69.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
31.4 / 28.4
33.0 / 29.0
Steals
8.0 / 7.3
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 10.6
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJIT
ME
NJIT
ME
ML
78%
25-7
45%
14-17
62%
20-12
52%
16-15
ATS
72%
23-9
55%
17-14
62%
20-12
52%
16-15
TTL
47%
15-17
55%
17-14
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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