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UNC GREENSBORO

SPARTANSUNCG

14-18  |  Road

75
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 2:30 PM ET
Harrah's Cherokee Center
View Odds Details →

WOFFORD

TERRIERSWOF

19-12  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
SPARTANS
100%
📊
TERRIERS
0%
SPARTANS --
TERRIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WOFFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Wofford)
SpartansUNCG (-3.5) 0 TerriersWOF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Spartans Cover

46.0%

Terriers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WOF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WOF)

UNCG By 1-7 points

24.3%

UNCG By 8-14 points

13.7%

WOF By 1-7 points

26.2%

WOF By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
72
UNC GREENSBORO
73
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
68
UNC GREENSBORO
78
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Terriers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Terriers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Terriers (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Terriers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 UNCG @ WOF 75 - 72
Feb 14, 2026 WOF @ UNCG 89 - 99
Jan 7, 2026 UNCG @ WOF 85 - 97
Feb 1, 2025 WOF @ UNCG 74 - 62
Jan 1, 2025 UNCG @ WOF 68 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +11.5%
UNC Greensboro: 81.2% vs Wofford: 69.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
UNC Greensboro: 37.5% vs Wofford: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNCG Score 72.0 75
WOF Score 73.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 37.5 38.0 / 35.0
Assists 13.8 / 14.5 13.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.0 / 2.0 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 47.3 43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 69.7 / 81.2 32.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 33.8 / 34.7 34.0 / 47.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.9 5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 9.3 2.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
64%MONEY36%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNCG
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: -1.0
WOF Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNCG
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.9 ATS +/-: -1.0
WOF Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.6 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UNCG
22-10-0
O: 68.8% / U: 31.3% Total +/-: +7.9
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
UNCG
WOF
UNCG
ML
39% 12-19
38% 13-21
61% 19-12
71% 24-10
ATS
58% 18-13
44% 15-19
61% 19-12
71% 24-10
TTL
65% 20-11
76% 26-8
100% 31-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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