NORTHEASTERN
HUSKIESNE
7-23 | Road
77
DREXEL
DRAGONSDREX
16-15 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
DRAGONS
0%
HUSKIES
--
DRAGONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
DREXEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Drexel)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DREX -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DREX)
NE By 1-7 points
16.9%
NE By 8-14 points
6.8%
DREX By 1-7 points
26.8%
DREX By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Northeastern
69
NORTHEASTERN
Drexel
75
DREXEL
Simulated Score
Northeastern
68
NORTHEASTERN
Drexel
72
DREXEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dragons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dragons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dragons (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Dragons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
NE @ DREX
77 - 84
Feb 19, 2026
DREX @ NE
70 - 61
Jan 24, 2026
NE @ DREX
78 - 83
Jan 23, 2025
DREX @ NE
61 - 70
Mar 2, 2024
NE @ DREX
59 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+82.9% more
Drexel: 3.8
vs
Northeastern: 2.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.3%
Drexel: 79.1%
vs
Northeastern: 69.8%
Assists (L5)
+29.8% more
Northeastern: 16.6
vs
Drexel: 11.7
Steals (L5)
+24.5% more
Northeastern: 6.6
vs
Drexel: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NE Score
69.0
77
DREX Score
75.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 37.8
47.0 / 23.0
Assists
11.7 / 16.6
13.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.8 / 2.1
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 48.2
51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 69.8
68.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 33.6
36.0 / 28.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.6
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.8 / 11.2
13.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
DREX
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
DREX
Advantage
18-13-1
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
DREX
14-17-1
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DREX
NE
DREX
NE
ML
58%
19-14
70%
21-9
81%
26-6
60%
18-12
ATS
70%
23-10
63%
19-11
81%
26-6
60%
18-12
TTL
48%
16-17
53%
16-14
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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