WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
14-16 | Road
56
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
22-10 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
SHARKS
100%
SEAHAWKS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
WAGNER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Wagner)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WAG -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAG)
WAG By 1-7 points
24.3%
WAG By 8-14 points
26.8%
LIU By 1-7 points
12.2%
LIU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wagner
76
WAGNER
Long Island University
67
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Wagner
65
WAGNER
Long Island University
58
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seahawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Seahawks (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Seahawks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 123.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
WAG @ LIU
56 - 64
Feb 16, 2026
WAG @ LIU
65 - 83
Feb 12, 2026
LIU @ WAG
67 - 57
Feb 27, 2025
WAG @ LIU
47 - 60
Feb 6, 2025
LIU @ WAG
60 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+20.1% more
Wagner: 37.4
vs
Long Island University: 29.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.1%
Wagner: 83.2%
vs
Long Island University: 74.0%
Blocks (L5)
+127.9% more
Long Island University: 5.6
vs
Wagner: 2.5
Steals (L5)
+45.5% more
Long Island University: 7.0
vs
Wagner: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WAG Score
76.0
56
LIU Score
67.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.2 / 38.7
13.0 / 14.0
Assists
14.8 / 12.0
5.0 / 8.0
Blocks
5.6 / 2.5
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
52.7 / 44.0
42.0 / 32.0
Free Throw %
74.0 / 83.2
75.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
29.9 / 37.4
35.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.0 / 4.8
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 10.6
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAG
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
WAG
LIU
WAG
ML
60%
21-14
63%
19-11
69%
24-11
57%
17-13
ATS
63%
22-13
60%
18-12
69%
24-11
57%
17-13
TTL
60%
21-14
53%
16-14
100%
35-0
100%
30-0
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