LA
CLIPPERSLAC
30-32 | Road
123
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
23-38 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
CLIPPERS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
LAC By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
16.9%
MEM By 1-7 points
24.3%
MEM By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
114
LA
Memphis
113
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
LA
109
LA
Memphis
118
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies (+7)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u228.0
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
LAC @ MEM
123 - 120
Dec 15, 2025
MEM @ LAC
121 - 103
Dec 5, 2025
LAC @ MEM
98 - 107
Nov 28, 2025
MEM @ LAC
112 - 107
Mar 21, 2025
MEM @ LAC
108 - 128
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+14.6% more
LA: 43.7
vs
Memphis: 37.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
LA: 82.2%
vs
Memphis: 78.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
LA: 50.3%
vs
Memphis: 47.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+32.5% more
Memphis: 15.5
vs
LA: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
114.0
123
MEM Score
113.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.9 / 34.9
37.0 / 24.0
Assists
28.2 / 23.4
29.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.8 / 4.9
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 50.3
48.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 82.2
83.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
37.3 / 43.7
34.0 / 44.0
Steals
11.3 / 9.9
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 11.7
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
LAC
MEM
LAC
ML
57%
59-44
60%
59-40
50%
41-41
55%
45-37
ATS
63%
65-38
66%
65-33-1
50%
41-41
55%
45-37
TTL
70%
71-31-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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