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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

40-16-6  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 10:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

24-30-7  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brandon Bussi None-None 5.13 0.800 --
Dustin Wolf None-None 4.02 0.862 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.13 GAA Ldr 4.02
0.800 Save % Ldr 0.862
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
HURRICANES --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Calgary)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

30.9%

Flames Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

CAR By 1 goal

12.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

CGY By 1 goal

19.7%

CGY By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
CAROLINA
4
CALGARY
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flames Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flames (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 CAR @ CGY 4 - 5
Nov 30, 2025 CGY @ CAR 0 - 1
Mar 2, 2025 CGY @ CAR 1 - 2
Oct 24, 2024 CAR @ CGY 4 - 2
Mar 10, 2024 CGY @ CAR 2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +42.2% more
Calgary: 15.5 vs Carolina: 10.9
Power Play % (L5) +13.9%
Calgary: 34.3% vs Carolina: 20.5%
Hits (L5) +12.8% more
Calgary: 17.7 vs Carolina: 15.7
Takeaways (L5) +35.8% more
Carolina: 6.3 vs Calgary: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.0 4
CGY Score 4.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
67%MONEY33%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
CAR
CGY
CAR
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
100% 4-0
TTL
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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