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NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

28-26-8  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 5:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center
View Odds Details →

BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

37-19-6  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Juuse Saros
GOALTENDER

Juuse Saros

#74 | Goaltender
@
Alex Lyon
GOALTENDER

Alex Lyon

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Juuse Saros None-None 3.06 0.875 --
Alex Lyon None-None 2.00 0.920 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.06 GAA Ldr 2.00
0.875 Save % Ldr 0.920
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
0%
📊
SABRES
100%
PREDATORS --
SABRES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Nashville)
PredatorsNSH (-3.5) 0 SabresBUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Predators Cover

97.7%

Sabres Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NSH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)

NSH By 1 goal

6.6%

NSH By 2-3 goals

29.6%

BUF By 1 goal

0.9%

BUF By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
NASHVILLE
1
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
2
NASHVILLE
3
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Predators Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sabres Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Predators (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Sabres (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 NSH @ BUF 2 - 3
Jan 20, 2026 BUF @ NSH 5 - 3
Feb 8, 2025 BUF @ NSH 4 - 6
Jan 31, 2025 NSH @ BUF 3 - 4
Mar 7, 2024 BUF @ NSH 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +13.6% more
Nashville: 31.5 vs Buffalo: 27.2
Hits (L5) +11.4% more
Nashville: 19.6 vs Buffalo: 17.4
Power Play % (L5) +4.7%
Nashville: 31.0% vs Buffalo: 26.3%
Faceoff % (L5) +3.6%
Nashville: 51.7% vs Buffalo: 48.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NSH Score 5.0 2
BUF Score 1.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
6%MONEY94%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
NSH
BUF
NSH
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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