MARIST
RED FOXESMRST
18-11 | Road
77
QUINNIPIAC
BOBCATSQUIN
19-12 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
RED FOXES
0%
BOBCATS
100%
RED FOXES
--
BOBCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUIN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)
MRST By 1-7 points
26.2%
MRST By 8-14 points
16.9%
QUIN By 1-7 points
24.3%
QUIN By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Marist
66
MARIST
Quinnipiac
65
QUINNIPIAC
Simulated Score
Marist
72
MARIST
Quinnipiac
75
QUINNIPIAC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Red Foxes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bobcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bobcats (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Bobcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u133.5
Loss
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
MRST @ QUIN
77 - 75
Jan 24, 2026
QUIN @ MRST
64 - 71
Dec 29, 2025
MRST @ QUIN
58 - 64
Jan 5, 2025
QUIN @ MRST
62 - 69
Mar 7, 2024
MRST @ QUIN
64 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.5% more
Marist: 7.4
vs
Quinnipiac: 5.3
Assists (L5)
+26.3% more
Marist: 13.8
vs
Quinnipiac: 10.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.6%
Marist: 72.9%
vs
Quinnipiac: 66.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Marist: 29.6%
vs
Quinnipiac: 26.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MRST Score
66.0
77
QUIN Score
65.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.5 / 29.6
40.0 / 50.0
Assists
10.2 / 13.8
13.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.4
3.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
38.9 / 39.7
37.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
66.3 / 72.9
66.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 34.2
45.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.3 / 7.4
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
8.9 / 9.2
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRST
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
QUIN
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRST
Advantage
15-13-1
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.8
ATS +/-: +1.6
QUIN
13-17-1
(43.3%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MRST
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -3.0
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
QUIN
MRST
QUIN
MRST
ML
66%
21-11
55%
17-14
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
ATS
59%
19-13
74%
23-8
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
TTL
62%
20-12
52%
16-15
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
