Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Beach @ Rainbow Warriors LBSU @ HAW

LONG BEACH STATE

BEACHLBSU

9-22  |  Road

84
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 11:59 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

22-7  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
BEACH
100%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
BEACH --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Hawai'i)
BeachLBSU (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Beach Cover

27.4%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

LBSU By 1-7 points

16.9%

LBSU By 8-14 points

6.8%

HAW By 1-7 points

26.8%

HAW By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
81
LONG BEACH STATE
87
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
72
LONG BEACH STATE
75
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o150.5 Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 LBSU @ HAW 84 - 75
Jan 31, 2026 HAW @ LBSU 89 - 82
Feb 13, 2025 LBSU @ HAW 60 - 62
Dec 7, 2024 HAW @ LBSU 68 - 76
Feb 24, 2024 LBSU @ HAW 65 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.2% more
Hawai'i: 4.3 vs Long Beach State: 3.3
Free Throw % (L5) +11.2%
Hawai'i: 77.9% vs Long Beach State: 66.7%
Assists (L5) +9.4% more
Hawai'i: 12.9 vs Long Beach State: 11.8
Field Goal % (L5) +4.4%
Hawai'i: 50.8% vs Long Beach State: 46.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LBSU Score 81.0 84
HAW Score 87.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 36.4 23.0 / 50.0
Assists 12.9 / 11.8 7.0 / 3.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.3 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.8 / 46.4 42.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 77.9 / 66.7 71.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 35.5 / 36.4 27.0 / 38.0
Steals 6.2 / 6.1 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 14.2 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LBSU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LBSU Advantage
16-13-1 (55.2%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: +0.4
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LBSU
19-10-1
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5% Total +/-: +4.7
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
LBSU
HAW
LBSU
ML
61% 20-13
55% 17-14
68% 21-10
65% 20-11
ATS
67% 22-11
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
65% 20-11
TTL
61% 20-13
61% 19-12
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 9 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days, 3 hours ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days, 4 hours ago
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
si 5 days, 15 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 10 hours ago