PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
34-28 | Road
116
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
32-31 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
HAWKS
100%
76ERS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
PHI By 1-7 points
24.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
26.8%
ATL By 1-7 points
12.2%
ATL By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
123
PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta
114
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta
115
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
76ers (-6.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.5
Win
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
PHI @ ATL
116 - 125
Feb 19, 2026
ATL @ PHI
117 - 107
Dec 14, 2025
PHI @ ATL
117 - 120
Nov 30, 2025
ATL @ PHI
142 - 134
Apr 11, 2025
ATL @ PHI
124 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.6%
Philadelphia: 80.3%
vs
Atlanta: 75.7%
Assists (L5)
+38.4% more
Atlanta: 32.0
vs
Philadelphia: 23.1
Rebounding (L5)
+16.9% more
Atlanta: 49.1
vs
Philadelphia: 42.0
Steals (L5)
+15.3% more
Atlanta: 10.1
vs
Philadelphia: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
123.0
116
ATL Score
114.0
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 30.7
41.0 / 38.0
Assists
32.0 / 23.1
32.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.7 / 5.3
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.6 / 43.2
55.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 80.3
80.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
49.1 / 42.0
39.0 / 36.0
Steals
10.1 / 8.7
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 13.0
21.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
PHI
ATL
PHI
ML
50%
52-52
63%
69-40
55%
48-40
48%
45-48
ATS
53%
55-48-1
65%
71-38
55%
48-40
48%
45-48
TTL
53%
55-48-1
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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