BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

15-47  |  Road

107
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 6:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

45-16  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
0%
📊
PISTONS
100%
NETS --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Brooklyn)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

90.3%

Pistons Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

BKN By 1-7 points

18.6%

BKN By 8-14 points

26.8%

DET By 1-7 points

6.8%

DET By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
123
BROOKLYN
110
DETROIT
Simulated Score
115
BROOKLYN
110
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Nets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nets (-13) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Nets (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o213.0 Loss
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim u213.0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 DET @ BKN 138 - 100
Mar 7, 2026 BKN @ DET 107 - 105
Feb 1, 2026 BKN @ DET 77 - 130
Nov 7, 2025 DET @ BKN 125 - 107
Mar 1, 2025 BKN @ DET 94 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +24.8% more
Brooklyn: 17.5 vs Detroit: 13.1
Assists (L5) +10.2% more
Brooklyn: 27.4 vs Detroit: 24.6
Blocks (L5) +93.6% more
Detroit: 6.1 vs Brooklyn: 3.1
Rebounding (L5) +20.6% more
Detroit: 48.2 vs Brooklyn: 39.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 123.0 107
DET Score 110.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 33.3 38.0 / 33.0
Assists 24.6 / 27.4 21.0 / 20.0
Blocks 6.1 / 3.1 6.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 44.2 42.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 77.2 / 74.9 74.0 / 96.0
Rebounding 48.2 / 39.9 37.0 / 45.0
Steals 8.6 / 8.1 14.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 17.5 14.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
54%MONEY46%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8