CAL STATE FULLERTON
TITANSCSUF
16-15 | Road
90
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
MATADORSCSUN
19-12 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
0%
MATADORS
100%
TITANS
--
MATADORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Cal State Fullerton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CSUF -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)
CSUF By 1-7 points
24.3%
CSUF By 8-14 points
26.8%
CSUN By 1-7 points
12.2%
CSUN By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cal State Fullerton
83
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Cal State Northridge
74
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Simulated Score
Cal State Fullerton
69
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Cal State Northridge
75
CAL STATE NORTHRIDGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Titans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Matadors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Titans (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Matadors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u173.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
CSUF @ CSUN
90 - 77
Jan 10, 2026
CSUN @ CSUF
79 - 86
Feb 6, 2025
CSUF @ CSUN
63 - 82
Jan 2, 2025
CSUN @ CSUF
95 - 65
Feb 24, 2024
CSUN @ CSUF
65 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.5% more
Cal State Fullerton: 19.6
vs
Cal State Northridge: 14.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.1%
Cal State Fullerton: 37.3%
vs
Cal State Northridge: 25.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+43.4% more
Cal State Northridge: 13.6
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 9.5
Rebounding (L5)
+31.3% more
Cal State Northridge: 44.2
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 33.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CSUF Score
83.0
90
CSUN Score
74.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.2 / 37.3
25.0 / 38.0
Assists
14.4 / 19.6
17.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.9
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 46.6
38.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
69.3 / 70.3
82.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 33.7
46.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.7
6.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 9.5
20.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUF
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
CSUN
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
CSUN
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
CSUN
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUN
CSUF
CSUN
CSUF
ML
58%
19-14
68%
23-11
67%
22-11
76%
26-8
ATS
58%
19-14
68%
23-11
67%
22-11
76%
26-8
TTL
58%
19-14
59%
20-14
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
Contextual Game News
