BRYANT
BULLDOGSBRY
9-21 | Road
57
VERMONT
CATAMOUNTSUVM
20-11 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
0%
BULLDOGS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
143.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
VERMONT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Vermont)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVM)
BRY By 1-7 points
15.3%
BRY By 8-14 points
5.8%
UVM By 1-7 points
26.2%
UVM By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Bryant
68
BRYANT
Vermont
75
VERMONT
Simulated Score
Bryant
65
BRYANT
Vermont
72
VERMONT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o130.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Sim
u130.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
BRY @ UVM
57 - 77
Feb 14, 2026
BRY @ UVM
63 - 90
Jan 24, 2026
UVM @ BRY
62 - 52
Feb 20, 2025
BRY @ UVM
55 - 59
Jan 11, 2025
UVM @ BRY
53 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.8% more
Bryant: 4.0
vs
Vermont: 2.6
Turnovers (L5)
+31.4% more
Bryant: 12.6
vs
Vermont: 8.7
Steals (L5)
+9.5% more
Bryant: 5.0
vs
Vermont: 4.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Bryant: 75.9%
vs
Vermont: 71.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRY Score
68.0
57
UVM Score
75.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 34.3
45.0 / 40.0
Assists
12.3 / 12.1
11.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.6 / 4.0
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 43.2
57.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 75.9
55.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 34.7
29.0 / 20.0
Steals
4.5 / 5.0
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 12.6
8.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRY
9-22-0
(29.0%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
UVM
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRY
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -7.6
ATS +/-: -4.2
UVM
Advantage
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BRY
12-17-0
O: 41.4% / U: 58.6%
Total +/-: -1.7
UVM
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVM
BRY
UVM
BRY
ML
56%
19-15
70%
21-9
65%
22-12
80%
24-6
ATS
62%
21-13
73%
22-8
65%
22-12
80%
24-6
TTL
47%
16-18
67%
20-10
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
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