OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
16-14 | Road
88
TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
18-12 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
0%
LONGHORNS
100%
SOONERS
--
LONGHORNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TEX +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
OU By 1-7 points
27.2%
OU By 8-14 points
20.1%
TEX By 1-7 points
21.6%
TEX By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
79
OKLAHOMA
Texas
76
TEXAS
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
75
OKLAHOMA
Texas
78
TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sooners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Longhorns
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Longhorns (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Longhorns (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o154.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
OU @ TEX
88 - 85
Jan 31, 2026
TEX @ OU
79 - 69
Mar 8, 2025
OU @ TEX
76 - 72
Jan 15, 2025
TEX @ OU
77 - 73
Mar 9, 2024
OU @ TEX
80 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.9% more
Oklahoma: 6.8
vs
Texas: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+15.8% more
Oklahoma: 13.0
vs
Texas: 11.0
Blocks (L5)
+11.1% more
Oklahoma: 4.1
vs
Texas: 3.6
Turnovers (L5)
+11.0% more
Oklahoma: 11.1
vs
Texas: 9.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
79.0
88
TEX Score
76.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.7 / 48.7
33.0 / 35.0
Assists
11.0 / 13.0
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.6 / 4.1
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 52.0
41.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 74.4
86.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
33.0 / 30.8
35.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.0 / 6.8
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
9.9 / 11.1
12.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEX
OU
TEX
OU
ML
58%
21-15
78%
28-8
56%
19-15
59%
20-14
ATS
56%
20-16
72%
26-10
56%
19-15
59%
20-14
TTL
64%
23-13
75%
27-9
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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