Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Explorers @ Hawks LAS @ JOES

LA SALLE

EXPLORERSLAS

9-21  |  Road

76
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 1:00 PM ET
Michael J. Hagan '85 Arena
View Odds Details →

SAINT JOSEPH'S

HAWKSJOES

20-10  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
0%
📊
HAWKS
100%
EXPLORERS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
ExplorersLAS (-3.5) 0 HawksJOES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Explorers Cover

42.1%

Hawks Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JOES +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JOES)

LAS By 1-7 points

26.8%

LAS By 8-14 points

18.6%

JOES By 1-7 points

23.0%

JOES By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
76
LA SALLE
74
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Simulated Score
71
LA SALLE
75
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Explorers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawks (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 LAS @ JOES 76 - 88
Jan 31, 2026 JOES @ LAS 67 - 58
Mar 13, 2025 LAS @ JOES 70 - 75
Mar 8, 2025 JOES @ LAS 74 - 81
Feb 12, 2025 LAS @ JOES 63 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +11.3% more
La Salle: 5.7 vs Saint Joseph's: 5.1
Free Throw % (L5) +6.5%
La Salle: 80.1% vs Saint Joseph's: 73.6%
Blocks (L5) +35.1% more
Saint Joseph's: 5.0 vs La Salle: 3.7
Assists (L5) +19.0% more
Saint Joseph's: 15.0 vs La Salle: 12.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAS Score 76.0 76
JOES Score 74.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.0 / 30.4 40.0 / 32.0
Assists 15.0 / 12.6 16.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.0 / 3.7 4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.2 / 40.4 52.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 80.1 65.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 39.1 / 35.2 37.0 / 35.0
Steals 5.1 / 5.7 2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 11.5 10.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
JOES Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -0.3
JOES Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: -0.5
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JOES
LAS
JOES
LAS
ML
51% 18-17
69% 22-10
61% 20-13
69% 22-10
ATS
60% 21-14
78% 25-7
61% 20-13
69% 22-10
TTL
54% 19-16
66% 21-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 14 hours, 59 minutes ago
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
yahoo 21 hours, 26 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 8 hours ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 8 hours ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 8 hours ago