Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Blue Hens LT @ DEL

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

17-13  |  Road

81
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 12:00 PM ET
Bob Carpenter Center
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

10-20  |  Home

38
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
BLUE HENS
100%
BULLDOGS --
BLUE HENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
BulldogsLT (-3.5) 0 Blue HensDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

93.3%

Blue Hens Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LT -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

LT By 1-7 points

15.3%

LT By 8-14 points

25.3%

DEL By 1-7 points

4.8%

DEL By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
81
LOUISIANA TECH
66
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
68
LOUISIANA TECH
72
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hens Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Blue Hens (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 LT @ DEL 81 - 38
Jan 10, 2026 DEL @ LT 68 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +21.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 13.7 vs Delaware: 10.7
Rebounding (L5) +20.8% more
Louisiana Tech: 35.2 vs Delaware: 27.9
Steals (L5) +9.3% more
Louisiana Tech: 8.0 vs Delaware: 7.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.4%
Delaware: 43.5% vs Louisiana Tech: 32.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 81.0 81
DEL Score 66.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.5 / 32.1 21.0 / 43.0
Assists 13.2 / 13.5 6.0 / 22.0
Blocks 4.6 / 4.9 1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.1 / 47.4 23.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 83.1 / 79.0 91.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 27.9 / 35.2 25.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.3 / 8.0 5.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 13.7 18.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
35%MONEY65%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
DEL
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
DEL
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
LT
DEL
LT
ML
45% 14-17
58% 19-14
52% 16-15
72% 23-9
ATS
61% 19-12
61% 20-13
52% 16-15
72% 23-9
TTL
65% 20-11
61% 20-13
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Greg Gard: Wisconsin Basketball Has Evolved While Keeping Its Id…
newspub_live 1 hour ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud, Admits Demanding $9,000…
bleacherreport 5 hours, 35 minutes ago
Kerr Kriisa Pleads Guilty to Wire Fraud in $9,000 Scheme
wsls 5 hours, 47 minutes ago
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 18 hours, 25 minutes ago
CareSource Invitational Turns Tennis Center into Basketball Show…
wcpo 1 day ago