Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Cowboys @ Spartans WYO @ SJSU

WYOMING

COWBOYSWYO

17-13  |  Road

88
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 5:00 PM ET
Provident Credit Union Event Center
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSÉ STATE

SPARTANSSJSU

8-22  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
SPARTANS
0%
COWBOYS --
SPARTANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San José State)
CowboysWYO (-3.5) 0 SpartansSJSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

46.0%

Spartans Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SJSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJSU)

WYO By 1-7 points

24.3%

WYO By 8-14 points

13.7%

SJSU By 1-7 points

26.2%

SJSU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
74
WYOMING
75
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Simulated Score
68
WYOMING
72
SAN JOSÉ STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Spartans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spartans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Spartans (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Spartans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o148.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 WYO @ SJSU 88 - 78
Jan 24, 2026 SJSU @ WYO 62 - 66
Mar 12, 2025 WYO @ SJSU 61 - 66
Feb 22, 2025 SJSU @ WYO 82 - 73
Jan 25, 2025 WYO @ SJSU 58 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +29.6% more
Wyoming: 9.5 vs San José State: 6.7
Assists (L5) +27.1% more
Wyoming: 14.3 vs San José State: 10.5
Steals (L5) +18.9% more
Wyoming: 6.3 vs San José State: 5.1
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Wyoming: 47.9% vs San José State: 44.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 74.0 88
SJSU Score 75.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 33.8 22.0 / 47.0
Assists 10.5 / 14.3 6.0 / 15.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.3 7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 47.9 54.0 / 57.0
Free Throw % 69.4 / 71.8 73.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 31.4 / 32.2 21.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.1 / 6.3 7.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 6.7 / 9.5 5.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
55%MONEY45%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
SJSU
9-24-0 (27.3%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.3
SJSU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
SJSU
21-11-0
O: 65.6% / U: 34.4% Total +/-: +5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJSU
WYO
SJSU
WYO
ML
73% 24-9
52% 17-16
62% 20-12
70% 23-10
ATS
73% 24-9
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
70% 23-10
TTL
61% 20-13
64% 21-12
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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