RHODE ISLAND
RAMSURI
16-14 | Road
49
FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
16-14 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
RAMS
0%
RAMS
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
FORDHAM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Fordham)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around FOR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)
URI By 1-7 points
21.6%
URI By 8-14 points
10.7%
FOR By 1-7 points
27.2%
FOR By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Rhode Island
74
RHODE ISLAND
Fordham
77
FORDHAM
Simulated Score
Rhode Island
68
RHODE ISLAND
Fordham
72
FORDHAM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 7, 2026
URI @ FOR
49 - 61
Feb 14, 2026
FOR @ URI
70 - 66
Mar 12, 2025
FOR @ URI
88 - 71
Mar 8, 2025
FOR @ URI
67 - 86
Feb 5, 2025
URI @ FOR
79 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+29.8% more
Fordham: 14.4
vs
Rhode Island: 11.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Fordham: 30.5%
vs
Rhode Island: 23.1%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.3%
Fordham: 42.0%
vs
Rhode Island: 39.7%
Blocks (L5)
+52.5% more
Rhode Island: 4.4
vs
Fordham: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
URI Score
74.0
49
FOR Score
77.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 23.1
30.0 / 22.0
Assists
14.4 / 11.1
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.1 / 4.4
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.0 / 39.7
41.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 76.3
81.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 34.3
40.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.9 / 8.9
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 13.2
17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
URI
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
FOR
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
URI
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FOR
URI
FOR
URI
ML
59%
19-13
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
ATS
59%
19-13
56%
18-14
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
TTL
59%
19-13
56%
18-14
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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