Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Orange PITT @ SYR

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

11-19  |  Road

71
FINAL
Sat, Mar 7 • 4:30 PM ET
JMA Wireless Dome
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

ORANGESYR

15-15  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
ORANGE
100%
PANTHERS --
ORANGE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Pittsburgh)
PanthersPITT (-3.5) 0 OrangeSYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

88.5%

Orange Cover

11.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PITT -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

PITT By 1-7 points

20.1%

PITT By 8-14 points

27.2%

SYR By 1-7 points

8.0%

SYR By 8-14 points

2.2%

AI Model Projected Score
74
PITTSBURGH
62
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
72
PITTSBURGH
75
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Orange Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Orange (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 PITT @ SYR 71 - 69
Jan 10, 2026 SYR @ PITT 83 - 72
Feb 18, 2025 SYR @ PITT 69 - 80
Jan 25, 2025 PITT @ SYR 77 - 73
Jan 16, 2024 SYR @ PITT 69 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +45.0% more
Pittsburgh: 7.6 vs Syracuse: 4.2
Assists (L5) +31.6% more
Pittsburgh: 15.7 vs Syracuse: 10.8
Turnovers (L5) +10.9% more
Pittsburgh: 11.2 vs Syracuse: 10.0
Rebounding (L5) +9.6% more
Pittsburgh: 33.7 vs Syracuse: 30.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PITT Score 74.0 71
SYR Score 62.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.8 / 34.7 29.0 / 23.0
Assists 10.8 / 15.7 10.0 / 8.0
Blocks 5.0 / 2.8 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.7 / 43.7 39.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 68.7 / 72.3 94.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 30.5 / 33.7 34.0 / 39.0
Steals 4.2 / 7.6 3.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 11.2 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
SYR Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PITT Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
SYR
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
PITT
SYR
PITT
ML
78% 25-7
58% 19-14
69% 22-10
45% 15-18
ATS
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
69% 22-10
45% 15-18
TTL
66% 21-11
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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